Thursday, April 6, 2017

Let's hope Trump is all talk on Syria

That's what I hope. It's interesting to me just how often Trump's knee-jerk reactions to event are similar or identical to mine. And my reaction to alleged events in Syria is that it's not our business and we should stay out of that particular bar, because there's always a fistfight going on there. And I can't help thinking that Trump feels the same way, but also sees that he has to pay lip service to the situation, expressing horror, etc., at the alleged atrocities. More on that in a minute. Now, I'm not indifferent to the plight of Arabs, Muslims, or, in particular, Syrians. I'm related to Syrians. They're much less of a mystery to me than they are to most people, evidently. And if these atrocities are real, I'd like to prevent them or make them unnecessary. If I had the power. That is, if I had the power to stop the atrocities without causing even worse atrocities. As the Bard said, there's the rub. Syrians are probably better off under Assad than they would be in a country without a central authority to keep the factions from murdering each other. And yes, Virginia, they have factions. Lots of factions.

Assad is one of those strongmen the Arab world and environs keep ending up putting in charge of countries. And it ends up that way because only a strongman can hold on to power most places there, because if he isn't tough enough to rule, there are many others on deck, and he ends up getting overthrown. Hell, sometimes we overthrow Arab leaders, though our favorite seems to be overthrowing strongmen who rule fairly stable countries. You know. Saddam Hussein, Gadhafi, Mubarak, and now the American* chicken hawks want to crush Assad and turn Syria into another basket case.

So I think Trump is reacting publicly and verbally to demonstrate the proper horror at the atrocity photos (see my last post for the atrocity stories we fell for and blundered into World War I as a result [link[). I think and hope hope hope that Trump knows damn well that intervention in Syria would be idiotic, and I also think he knows damn well that Assad or someone just like him is the best leader Syria could realistically hope to have at this point in history.

And I feel especially good that Scott Adams [link] pretty much agrees with me on this. He writes:

The Syrian Gas Attack Persuasion

According to the mainstream media – that has been wrong about almost everything for a solid 18 months in a row – the Syrian government allegedly bombed its own people with a nerve agent
The reason the Assad government would bomb its own people with a nerve agent right now is obvious. Syrian President Assad – who has been fighting for his life for several years, and is only lately feeling safer – suddenly decided to commit suicide-by-Trump. Because the best way to make that happen is to commit a war crime against your own people in exactly the way that would force President Trump to respond or else suffer humiliation at the hands of the mainstream media.
And how about those pictures coming in about the tragedy. Lots of visual imagery. Dead babies. It is almost as if someone designed this “tragedy” to be camera-ready for President Trump’s consumption. It pushed every one of his buttons. Hard. And right when things in Syria were heading in a positive direction.
  • Interesting timing.
  • Super-powerful visual persuasion designed for Trump in particular.
  • Suspiciously well-documented event for a place with no real press.
  • No motive for Assad to use gas to kill a few dozen people at the cost of his entire regime. It wouldn’t be a popular move with Putin either.
  • The type of attack no U.S. president can ignore and come away intact.
  • A setup that looks suspiciously similar to the false WMD stories that sparked the Iraq war.
I’m going to call bullshit on the gas attack. It’s too “on-the-nose,” as Hollywood script-writers sometimes say, meaning a little too perfect to be natural. This has the look of a manufactured event.
My guess is that President Trump knows this smells fishy, but he has to talk tough anyway. However, keep in mind that he has made a brand out of not discussing military options. He likes to keep people guessing. He reminded us of that again yesterday, in case we forgot.
So how does a Master Persuader respond to a fake war crime?
He does it with a fake response, if he’s smart. 
Watch now as the world tries to guess where Trump is moving military assets, and what he might do to respond. The longer he drags things out, the less power the story will have on the public. We’ll be wondering for weeks when those bombs will start hitting Damascus, and Trump will continue to remind us that he doesn’t talk about military options.
Then he waits for something bad to happen to Assad’s family, or his generals, in the normal course of chaos over there. When that happens on its own, the media will wonder if it was Trump sending a strong message to Assad in a measured way. Confirmation bias will do the rest.
There is also a non-zero chance that Putin just asked Assad to frame one of his less-effective Syrian generals for going rogue with chemical weapons, and executing him just to calm things down.
I don’t think we’ll ever know what’s going on over there. But I think we can rule out the idea that Assad decided to commit suicide-by-Trump.
For more Adams on the subject, thanks to Matt Bailey, go to:

A wonderful reason for our not intervening in Syria:
*American, though many hold dual citizenship.
Quibcag: Illustration is Ba'athist-chan, "enemy of ISIS." Read about her here:

1 comment:

  1. You were all played. The enemy has played their last card. When the debts become unpayable and the victims see the parasites, they gin up a War to get their victims to kill each other. Same thing everyday eh schlomo?